pre-mortem

Imagine your project has failed spectacularly—then work backward to identify why. Apply Gary Klein's "prospective hindsight" technique to catch failures before they happen.

| Source | Gary Klein (1989), cognitive psychologist, naturalistic decision making pioneer | | Expert | Klein's research shows pre-mortems increase accuracy of identifying reasons for outcomes by 30% |

| Core Principle | "Prospective hindsight" - imagining an event has already occurred dramatically improves our ability to explain it. The future feels distant; the past feels real. |

想像一下你的專案徹底失敗了，然後回溯找出原因。應用加里·克萊因（Gary Klein）的「前瞻性事後諸葛亮」技術，在故障發生之前發現它們。在以下情況下使用： **啟動**產品、活動或重大計劃之前； **在做出**重要決定（招募、投資、合作）之前； **啟動專案**以識別團隊未考慮到的風險； **當過於自信**並且每個人都同意這個計劃很棒時； **在將資源投入重要的專案之前**... 來源：guia-matthieu/clawfu-skills。