pre-mortem

Imagine your project has failed spectacularly—then work backward to identify why. Apply Gary Klein's "prospective hindsight" technique to catch failures before they happen.

| Source | Gary Klein (1989), cognitive psychologist, naturalistic decision making pioneer | | Expert | Klein's research shows pre-mortems increase accuracy of identifying reasons for outcomes by 30% |

| Core Principle | "Prospective hindsight" - imagining an event has already occurred dramatically improves our ability to explain it. The future feels distant; the past feels real. |

想象一下你的项目彻底失败了，然后回溯找出原因。应用加里·克莱因（Gary Klein）的“前瞻性事后诸葛亮”技术，在故障发生之前发现它们。在以下情况下使用： **启动**产品、活动或重大计划之前； **在做出**重要决定（招聘、投资、合作）之前； **启动项目**以识别团队未考虑到的风险； **当过于自信**并且每个人都同意这个计划很棒时； **在将资源投入重要的项目之前**... 来源：guia-matthieu/clawfu-skills。