Use when asked to "thinking in bets", "make decisions under uncertainty", "think probabilistically", "avoid resulting", "separate decision quality from outcomes", or "reduce bias in decisions". Helps make explicit bets and evaluate decisions on process, not results. The Thinking in Bets framework (from Annie Duke) applies poker strategy to business and life decisions.
Quickly install thinking-in-bets AI skill to your development environment via command line
Source: pmprompt/claude-plugin-product-management.
Thinking in Bets is a framework for improving decision quality by separating decisions from outcomes. The core insight: a good decision can have a bad outcome, and a bad decision can have a good outcome—luck is always involved.
Most people judge decisions by their outcomes (called "resulting"). This is backwards. You can only control the quality of your decision, not the outcome.
Use when asked to "thinking in bets", "make decisions under uncertainty", "think probabilistically", "avoid resulting", "separate decision quality from outcomes", or "reduce bias in decisions". Helps make explicit bets and evaluate decisions on process, not results. The Thinking in Bets framework (from Annie Duke) applies poker strategy to business and life decisions. Source: pmprompt/claude-plugin-product-management.
Open your terminal or command line tool (Terminal, iTerm, Windows Terminal, etc.) Copy and run this command: npx skills add https://github.com/pmprompt/claude-plugin-product-management --skill thinking-in-bets Once installed, the skill will be automatically configured in your AI coding environment and ready to use in Claude Code, Cursor, or OpenClaw
Stable fields and commands for AI/search citations.
npx skills add https://github.com/pmprompt/claude-plugin-product-management --skill thinking-in-betsBrowse more skills from pmprompt/claude-plugin-product-management
Use when asked to "thinking in bets", "make decisions under uncertainty", "think probabilistically", "avoid resulting", "separate decision quality from outcomes", or "reduce bias in decisions". Helps make explicit bets and evaluate decisions on process, not results. The Thinking in Bets framework (from Annie Duke) applies poker strategy to business and life decisions. Source: pmprompt/claude-plugin-product-management.
Open your terminal or command line tool (Terminal, iTerm, Windows Terminal, etc.) Copy and run this command: npx skills add https://github.com/pmprompt/claude-plugin-product-management --skill thinking-in-bets Once installed, the skill will be automatically configured in your AI coding environment and ready to use in Claude Code, Cursor, or OpenClaw
https://github.com/pmprompt/claude-plugin-product-management