evaluating-trade-offs

SKILL.md

Help the user make clearer decisions between competing options using frameworks and mental models from 40 product leaders.

Optimize for order-of-magnitude, not precision Alex Komoroske: "It doesn't really matter if it's 1,000 or 1,001, who cares? It's orders of magnitude larger than the alternative, and so it is better." Don't waste effort on false precision in uncertain environments - focus on whether one option is dramatically better, not marginally better.

Apply the "would I start this today?" test Annie Duke: "If you wouldn't start this today, then that means that everything that you're putting into this going forward is the actual waste." When evaluating whether to continue a project, ignore sunk costs entirely. The only relevant question is whether you'd begin this effort with today's knowledge.

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