market-mechanics-betting
✓Use to convert probabilities into decisions (bet/pass/hedge) and optimize scoring. Invoke when need to calculate edge, size bets optimally (Kelly Criterion), extremize aggregated forecasts, or improve Brier scores. Use when user mentions betting strategy, Kelly, edge calculation, Brier score, extremizing, or translating belief into action.
Installation
SKILL.md
Market mechanics translates beliefs (probabilities) into actions (bets, decisions, resource allocation) using quantitative frameworks.
Core Principle: If you believe something with X% probability, you should be willing to bet at certain odds.
1. Calculate Edge - Determine if you have an advantage 2. Optimize Bet Size (Kelly Criterion) - How much to bet 3. Extremize Aggregated Forecasts - Adjust crowd wisdom 4. Optimize Brier Score - Improve forecast scoring 5. Hedge and Portfolio Betting - Manage multiple bets 6. Learn the Framework - Deep dive into methodology
Use to convert probabilities into decisions (bet/pass/hedge) and optimize scoring. Invoke when need to calculate edge, size bets optimally (Kelly Criterion), extremize aggregated forecasts, or improve Brier scores. Use when user mentions betting strategy, Kelly, edge calculation, Brier score, extremizing, or translating belief into action. Source: lyndonkl/claude.
Facts (cite-ready)
Stable fields and commands for AI/search citations.
- Install command
npx skills add https://github.com/lyndonkl/claude --skill market-mechanics-betting- Source
- lyndonkl/claude
- Category
- </>Dev Tools
- Verified
- ✓
- First Seen
- 2026-02-01
- Updated
- 2026-02-18
Quick answers
What is market-mechanics-betting?
Use to convert probabilities into decisions (bet/pass/hedge) and optimize scoring. Invoke when need to calculate edge, size bets optimally (Kelly Criterion), extremize aggregated forecasts, or improve Brier scores. Use when user mentions betting strategy, Kelly, edge calculation, Brier score, extremizing, or translating belief into action. Source: lyndonkl/claude.
How do I install market-mechanics-betting?
Open your terminal or command line tool (Terminal, iTerm, Windows Terminal, etc.) Copy and run this command: npx skills add https://github.com/lyndonkl/claude --skill market-mechanics-betting Once installed, the skill will be automatically configured in your AI coding environment and ready to use in Claude Code or Cursor
Where is the source repository?
https://github.com/lyndonkl/claude
Details
- Category
- </>Dev Tools
- Source
- skills.sh
- First Seen
- 2026-02-01