·analyze-high-unemployment-high-gdp-growth-fiscal-deficit-scenarios
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analyze-high-unemployment-high-gdp-growth-fiscal-deficit-scenarios

fatfingererr/macro-skills

在「失業率走高/勞動市場轉弱」但「名目或實質 GDP 仍維持高位(或仍在成長)」的情境下,依據歷史關聯估算美國財政赤字占 GDP(Deficit/GDP)可能擴張的區間,並生成對長天期美債(長久期 UST)供給/利率風險的情境解讀。支援視覺化圖表輸出。

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Installation

$npx skills add https://github.com/fatfingererr/macro-skills --skill analyze-high-unemployment-high-gdp-growth-fiscal-deficit-scenarios

SKILL.md

| βUR | 0.59 | 失業率每↑1ppt → 赤字/GDP↑0.59ppt | | βUJO | 0.69 | UJO每↑1 → 赤字/GDP↑0.69ppt | | βJOLTS | -0.07 | 職缺每↑1M → 赤字/GDP↓0.07ppt | | Lag | 4Q | 勞動指標領先赤字約4季 |

| eventstudybanding | 事件分組區間法 | 「12–17%」範圍型敘事,歷史事件清單 | | quantilemapping | 分位數映射 | 「現在落在歷史哪個角落」的條件分布 | | robustregression | 穩健迴歸推演 | 連續型情境路徑與區間 |

| 1, "快速", "quick", "診斷" | 執行 python scripts/analyzer.py --quick | | 2, "完整", "full", "情境" | 閱讀 workflows/analyze.md 並執行 | | 3, "視覺化", "圖表", "chart" | 閱讀 workflows/visualize.md 並執行 | | 4, "自訂", "custom", "推演" | 閱讀 workflows/scenario.md 並執行 | | 5, "學習", "方法論", "why" | 閱讀 references/methodology.md | | 6, "UST", "美債", "利率" | 閱讀 workflows/ust-risk.md 並執行 |

在「失業率走高/勞動市場轉弱」但「名目或實質 GDP 仍維持高位(或仍在成長)」的情境下,依據歷史關聯估算美國財政赤字占 GDP(Deficit/GDP)可能擴張的區間,並生成對長天期美債(長久期 UST)供給/利率風險的情境解讀。支援視覺化圖表輸出。 Source: fatfingererr/macro-skills.

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Facts (cite-ready)

Stable fields and commands for AI/search citations.

Install command
npx skills add https://github.com/fatfingererr/macro-skills --skill analyze-high-unemployment-high-gdp-growth-fiscal-deficit-scenarios
Category
$Marketing
Verified
First Seen
2026-02-01
Updated
2026-02-18

Quick answers

What is analyze-high-unemployment-high-gdp-growth-fiscal-deficit-scenarios?

在「失業率走高/勞動市場轉弱」但「名目或實質 GDP 仍維持高位(或仍在成長)」的情境下,依據歷史關聯估算美國財政赤字占 GDP(Deficit/GDP)可能擴張的區間,並生成對長天期美債(長久期 UST)供給/利率風險的情境解讀。支援視覺化圖表輸出。 Source: fatfingererr/macro-skills.

How do I install analyze-high-unemployment-high-gdp-growth-fiscal-deficit-scenarios?

Open your terminal or command line tool (Terminal, iTerm, Windows Terminal, etc.) Copy and run this command: npx skills add https://github.com/fatfingererr/macro-skills --skill analyze-high-unemployment-high-gdp-growth-fiscal-deficit-scenarios Once installed, the skill will be automatically configured in your AI coding environment and ready to use in Claude Code or Cursor

Where is the source repository?

https://github.com/fatfingererr/macro-skills