analyze-high-unemployment-high-gdp-growth-fiscal-deficit-scenarios
✓在「失業率走高/勞動市場轉弱」但「名目或實質 GDP 仍維持高位(或仍在成長)」的情境下,依據歷史關聯估算美國財政赤字占 GDP(Deficit/GDP)可能擴張的區間,並生成對長天期美債(長久期 UST)供給/利率風險的情境解讀。支援視覺化圖表輸出。
Installation
SKILL.md
| βUR | 0.59 | 失業率每↑1ppt → 赤字/GDP↑0.59ppt | | βUJO | 0.69 | UJO每↑1 → 赤字/GDP↑0.69ppt | | βJOLTS | -0.07 | 職缺每↑1M → 赤字/GDP↓0.07ppt | | Lag | 4Q | 勞動指標領先赤字約4季 |
| eventstudybanding | 事件分組區間法 | 「12–17%」範圍型敘事,歷史事件清單 | | quantilemapping | 分位數映射 | 「現在落在歷史哪個角落」的條件分布 | | robustregression | 穩健迴歸推演 | 連續型情境路徑與區間 |
| 1, "快速", "quick", "診斷" | 執行 python scripts/analyzer.py --quick | | 2, "完整", "full", "情境" | 閱讀 workflows/analyze.md 並執行 | | 3, "視覺化", "圖表", "chart" | 閱讀 workflows/visualize.md 並執行 | | 4, "自訂", "custom", "推演" | 閱讀 workflows/scenario.md 並執行 | | 5, "學習", "方法論", "why" | 閱讀 references/methodology.md | | 6, "UST", "美債", "利率" | 閱讀 workflows/ust-risk.md 並執行 |
在「失業率走高/勞動市場轉弱」但「名目或實質 GDP 仍維持高位(或仍在成長)」的情境下,依據歷史關聯估算美國財政赤字占 GDP(Deficit/GDP)可能擴張的區間,並生成對長天期美債(長久期 UST)供給/利率風險的情境解讀。支援視覺化圖表輸出。 Source: fatfingererr/macro-skills.
Facts (cite-ready)
Stable fields and commands for AI/search citations.
- Install command
npx skills add https://github.com/fatfingererr/macro-skills --skill analyze-high-unemployment-high-gdp-growth-fiscal-deficit-scenarios- Category
- $Marketing
- Verified
- ✓
- First Seen
- 2026-02-01
- Updated
- 2026-02-18
Quick answers
What is analyze-high-unemployment-high-gdp-growth-fiscal-deficit-scenarios?
在「失業率走高/勞動市場轉弱」但「名目或實質 GDP 仍維持高位(或仍在成長)」的情境下,依據歷史關聯估算美國財政赤字占 GDP(Deficit/GDP)可能擴張的區間,並生成對長天期美債(長久期 UST)供給/利率風險的情境解讀。支援視覺化圖表輸出。 Source: fatfingererr/macro-skills.
How do I install analyze-high-unemployment-high-gdp-growth-fiscal-deficit-scenarios?
Open your terminal or command line tool (Terminal, iTerm, Windows Terminal, etc.) Copy and run this command: npx skills add https://github.com/fatfingererr/macro-skills --skill analyze-high-unemployment-high-gdp-growth-fiscal-deficit-scenarios Once installed, the skill will be automatically configured in your AI coding environment and ready to use in Claude Code or Cursor
Where is the source repository?
https://github.com/fatfingererr/macro-skills
Details
- Category
- $Marketing
- Source
- skills.sh
- First Seen
- 2026-02-01